1. A strange day on the work blog. Our best ever in terms of views, but of close to zero business value even by the etiolated standards of corporate blogging - the Observer Food Monthly tweeted a post I wrote about the “System 1” way to eat a sandwich, and it was a decent driver of traffic.

    Views don’t matter, kids! Though they are still fun to look at, and I did press F4 a fair bit.

     

  2. Very interesting series of tweets by Rich Millington of Feverbee summarising research into gamification in communities. The overall picture - it sacrifices long-term stability for a short-term boost - makes a lot of sense.

     


  3. What AltaVista has done in the past few months is to infuse its Web site with bells and whistles like shopping, free Internet access, an image library and breaking news reports. Like all Internet portals, it is trying to give users more reasons to visit than just offering a way to find information elsewhere on the Web.
    — 

    SFGate. Monday, March 27th 2000.AltaVista Switches Web Portal Into High Gear / Revamped site adds new services.” 

    I looked this up because, on June 29, 1999, myself and my boss Mark Bockley, did a qualitative brand and category audit for AltaVista that clearly indicated that search was the opportunity.

    I believe our words in our presentation were something to the effect of, “Whoever owns search, wins.”

    This entire article is an amazing flashback to the peak of the dot-com bubble. Google isn’t mentioned anywhere in this article, and wasn’t even in the Top 20 Internet Properties list at the end of this article and was barely mentioned in our research. 

    I say that to indicate that this wasn’t a case of users saying Google is awesome, and us reporting that Google is awesome, so you should be like Google.

    This was a case of deep, creative, indirect listening into the motivations at work in an emerging category of behavior revealing unserved needs. AltaVista wasn’t listening that day - they had just been bought by CMGI for $2.3b. 

    I say this also to highlight that strategic insight - through brand listening - is possible (vital!) even when the entire industry is blind:

    Here’s Rod Shrock, the CEO of Alta Vista, defending portalization in the same article. This is a year after our presentation:

    “You tell me, was CBS three years ahead or behind of NBC?” Schrock asked. “No idea? So in the grand scheme of things, no one will care in 10 years whether we were three years before or after Yahoo.”

    Blinded by Yahoo! And this, from an analyst (any qualitative at work?):

    Charlene Li, an analyst with Forrester Research, was not so optimistic. She lauded Alta Vista’s focus on Web enthusiasts and e-commerce, but stopped short of predicting that AltaVista would one day become the Internet’s top portal for all users.

    “Being a general search engine isn’t enough to catch up to a Yahoo because they are so far ahead,” Li said.

    Perhaps it was too late for them to do anything about it, but suffice it to say that deep creative listening with consumers gave them the opportunity to choose - chase the portals and the wisdom of the day, or turn towards the consumer and become helpful. And they chose to follow the pack over the cliff.

    To anyone reading this, I ask, have you explored how your consumer experiences your category lately? 

    (via peterspear)

    We use AltaVista v Google sometimes as an example (of something else, TBH) - but this is a very interesting flashback, to about six months before I became an “Internet analyst” for Nielsen//NetRatings as they then were.

    My job was to interpret our (fairly thin) audience data each month and write a report. It very quickly became a way of finding new ways to say, each month, “Google is going to beat you”. This wasn’t really what any of the people we were providing data for wanted to hear, and I certainly didn’t have the analytical acumen to tell them what they should do about it either. So it wasn’t a very satisfying job, and I wasn’t terribly good at it. Interesting times, though.

     

  4. terribleterribletonystark:

    shit

    I have methodological issues here.

    (via piratemoggy)

     


  5. I taught a course in “motivation” almost 40 years ago. I gave everyone a B and they knew this on day 1. There was still a midterm, a final and a term paper, all of them graded, but people got a B no matter what. This was designed to have students scrutinize their own motives in being students. For the first five weeks, everything was great. But then midterms in other courses rolled around, students in my course fell behind, and they never caught up, growing increasingly embarrassed as the semester wore on. I think I ended up with three (quite good) papers in a class of 40. It was not a successful experiment.
     


  6. A Marketing Binary

    I have been following the Nudge Unit story this morning. (It’s going to be sold off, quite unrelatedly to any bad behaviour on behalf of the DWP. Some smaller behavioural consultancies are understandably pissed off about the imminent appearance of a state-backed competitor.)

    Anyway, people who don’t like the Nudge Unit - and there are many - tend to think one of two things about it.

    - It’s a waste of money because it doesn’t work.

    - It’s a horrible Orwellian brainwashing unit because it does work.

    Some people think both!

    This mirrors something I’ve generally noticed about the public reaction to marketing, advertising, etc. Either they assume it’s completely ineffective and marketers are idiotic blowhards, or they assume it’s dangerously effective and marketers are manipulative fiends.

    Whereas the truth as I understand it after 15 years working in it (and related things) is that most marketing “works” on some people, sometimes, a bit, maybe, and it’s very hard to predict who it will work on and when. And it’s also quite hard to know what’s worked on YOU and what hasn’t*. It’s a bit effective, in other words.

    There are lots of reasons to dislike specific marketing campaigns, or the general omnipresence of marketing efforts, or the very concept of it. Some of them are excellent reasons. But none of the good reasons really relate to its effectiveness, I think.

    *(A fairly common assumption underlying a lot of complaints is that it doesn’t work on ME but it works on some bunch of OTHER PEOPLE. Most complaints about “nudging”, for instance, are not complaints about “I was nudged”, but show the complainer as a smart guy who has not been fooled by an attempt to nudge him.)

     


  7. Note On Emotion

    This is very basic but I think often misunderstood - just putting it down for use in other work pieces.

    “Emotion” in marketing isn’t some mystical quality which can be impregnated in a brand, advert, pack, etc. It’s a reaction people have to something. That’s all. If an advert plays and there is nobody to see it, was it emotional, grasshopper? No. It wasn’t. Emotions are things that are felt by people.

    Which is why we ought to say - & I don’t always get this right - that we’re measuring people’s emotional response to something, not “how emotional” that thing is.

     


  8. This is, obviously, the nightmare scenario for the Government’s behavioural economics / social psychology “nudge unit”. The Nudge Unit was always going to run into trouble on one of two grounds - they do something which the press thinks is evil, or they do something which the press thinks is stupid. As it’s turned out they’ve done both.

    The basic story here is as summarised - unemployed people had to do a psychometric test to ‘determine their strengths’ and then were asked to do things related to those strengths: it’s the idea, from positive psychology, that self-belief correlates with achievement, in which case increasing self-belief is a Good Thing, right?

    But the test wasn’t real, and people were threatened with loss of benefits if they didn’t complete it.

    And this has all been exposed, and lots of people are thinking “nasty”.

    But if you’re interested in “nudging” and government applications of psychology it’s worth teasing out where that nastiness actually is.

    Consider these alternative scenarios.

    A. The Government asks jobseekers to do a REAL psychological test, act on the results, and threatens loss of benefits.

    B. The Government asks jobseekers to do a bogus test, act on the results, but doesn’t tie it to benefits at all - it’s just part of the “getting people back to work” package.

    C. The Government asks jobseekers to do a real test, act on the results, but it’s not tied to benefits - it’s just part of the package.

    Are these scenarios evil, stupid, both, or neither? I’d say A was evil and stupid (if you’re trying to induce positive psychology effects you don’t start by threatening your subjects). B is just stupid (why not use a real test? you’re asking to be exposed) and C is basically neither, with the very large caveat that most psychometric tests are a bit feeble.

    But C is also the most interesting one, because for a lot of people that would still feel wrong. Firms, governments, and other people use psychology on us all the time, but actually admitting it, and setting up a unit to do it, feels like crossing a line. “Mind control”, “Psy-war”, brainwashing, etc.

    (There’s a whole other dimension here too, of course. I’m assuming that these people are able to work, and that trying to get people able to work back to work is a legitimate government role. Obviously this whole conversation is taking place in a context where the former assumption is itself bogus, since the current Government is hell-bent on driving the disabled back to work making ideological “savings” by declaring the disabled fit to work whether they can or not. One of the many dreadful effects of this is to cast doubt on any legitimate back-to-work efforts.)

    So if you’re a consumer-facing company exploring nudging or behavioural science, and you’re looking at this car-wreck, what lessons do you draw from it? Don’t back up nudges with threats, for a start. But there’s a more important lesson. What makes this gross is the feeling that you can’t nudge somebody into a job that isn’t there. Positive psychology has a bad flipside, which is implied blame for adversities falling on people who aren’t positive enough - whereas there are any number of structural factors far more likely to affect them. In an environment where the poor and unemployed are getting blamed for their own situation anyhow, that’s inflammatory.

    In marketing terms, it’s the equivalent of using psychology to cover up bad business decisions - nudging people into buying horsemeat burgers, for instance. So the lesson for wannabe nudgers is maybe to sort your externals out before you call in the head-shrinkers.

     


  9. hautepop:

    In an inter-connected world, where products have sensors and are connected to the internet, companies will know in real-time how people use their product, when they use it, for how long they use it and when things go wrong. Whenever a product needs to be improved or a new product needs to be developed, organisations can simply look at the real-time sensor data pouring into the organisation and understand the needs and wishes of their customers. If they want to understand how people think of their products, the company or what the sentiment of the brand is, they can simply connect to a big data startup and real-time data starts appearing on their screen, analysed and visualized, to be understood by everyone in the organisation.

    And:

    “In a world of big data, however, understanding of the context is done automatically by the algorithms.”

    This is the most hilarious and ideological thing I’ve read this year - purest Borg Complex.

    You don’t need me to debunk all the ways this is inaccurate. Instead, it’s better viewed as an artefact of big data ideology, and the way it moves throught he hype cycle such that a leisure and travel marketer (the author) decides he can become a big data guru.

    This is truly the “peak of inflated expectations” - a faith-based model of data, where its mere presence cures scrofula and transmits enlightenment.

    Would it were that easy…

     


  10. Dodgy Excel? We’ve all been there, dude. Mind you at least my shameful Excel fuck-ups at worst resulted in some marginally poorer comms decisions by a major airline, rather than being a major influence on the macro-economic policy of an entire hemisphere.

    (Seriously though this is amazing stuff and painful reading for anyone who does even the most cursory stats work as well as anyone opposed to ‘austerity’ - the country weightings bit will have you peeping through your fingers.)